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2024-12-14 12:40:07

BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC): Actively expand effective investment, improve investment efficiency, and focus on the layout of a number of major projects with strong traction and long-term benefits. The Party Committee of the State Council SASAC held a special meeting. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to promote central enterprises to improve their ability to cope with cyclical fluctuations, continue to exert efforts in performance appraisal, quality improvement and efficiency improvement, and economic operation, and strive to simultaneously improve efficiency and efficiency indicators, and strive to achieve development with stronger scientific and technological attributes and greater driving role; Actively expand effective investment, improve investment efficiency, focus on "two" and "two new" layout of a number of major projects with strong traction and long-term benefits; We will do a better job in helping small and medium-sized enterprises, promote central enterprises to deepen strategic cooperation in the industrial chain, take the lead in paying off debts owed by private enterprises, and go all out to stabilize employment, supply and flow, so as to better help the national economy continue to pick up. It is necessary to promote the central enterprises to improve the supply capacity of common technologies, further highlight the key points and strengthen the key core technologies, especially in areas with large investment and long cycle; Further highlight the original innovation, explore and create a "policy enclave", strengthen the applied basic research, and deeply root the "root technology"; Further highlight the transformation of achievements, promote the construction of a number of major pilot projects by central enterprises, and constantly open up the "last mile" of the transformation of scientific and technological achievements into real productive forces, so as to better help high-level science and technology stand on its own feet. (SASAC)The EUR/USD of the euro against the US dollar rose by 0.50% in the day and is now reported at 1.0518.


Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited traded 175,000 shares today with a turnover of 44,625,200 yuan, while Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited traded 175,000 shares today with a turnover of 44,625,200 yuan, accounting for 0.58% of the total turnover of the day. The average transaction price was 255 yuan, which was 4.51% lower than the market closing price of 267.03 yuan, of which the highest transaction price was 267.03 yuan and the lowest transaction price was 218.97 yuan.Guoyuan Securities: A special dividend plan was drawn up and announced by Guoyuan Securities. On December 13, 2024, the company held the 20th meeting of the 10th Board of Directors and the 11th meeting of the 10th Board of Supervisors, at which the Proposal on Special Dividend Plan was reviewed and approved. As of September 30, 2024, the accumulated undistributed profit of the company was 7.743 billion yuan, and the accumulated distributable profit of the parent company was 5.262 billion yuan. In order to enhance the investor's sense of gain and improve the investor's return level, the company has drawn up a special dividend plan: based on the existing total share capital of 4.364 billion shares, a cash dividend of 0.60 yuan will be distributed to all shareholders for every 10 shares, and a total cash dividend of 262 million yuan will be distributed. No bonus shares will be distributed, and capital will not be increased from the provident fund.


BMO raised the target price of Chevron from $170 to $175.Market News: The European Central Bank is prepared to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next two meetings.French President Mark Long will announce the new prime minister on the morning of 13th. On the evening of 12th local time, French President Macron returned to Paris after his visit to Poland, and said that he would announce the new prime minister on the morning of 13th local time. Macron accepted the resignation of former Prime Minister Michel Banier on December 5th, and the government of Banier became the government with the shortest term in the Fifth Republic of France.

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